Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.056926 0.066886 0.078012 0.091354 0.106914 0.124479 0.145811
2025-07-27 0.041988 0.055041 0.071219 0.092709 0.120480 0.155131 0.201636
2025-08-03 0.033363 0.047603 0.066724 0.094203 0.132616 0.184340 0.259229
2025-08-10 0.028089 0.042984 0.064349 0.097103 0.145928 0.215884 0.323612
2025-08-17 0.022702 0.036945 0.058591 0.093707 0.149071 0.232794 0.368804
2025-08-24 0.019308 0.033194 0.055414 0.093320 0.156124 0.255737 0.425374
2025-08-31 0.016469 0.029778 0.052107 0.091989 0.161133 0.275670 0.479262
2025-09-07 0.014727 0.027891 0.050952 0.093914 0.171546 0.305328 0.552581
2025-09-14 0.012850 0.025430 0.048392 0.092906 0.176547 0.326156 0.612983
2025-09-21 0.011108 0.022924 0.045350 0.090504 0.178551 0.341693 0.665496
2025-09-28 0.009603 0.020629 0.042353 0.087700 0.179298 0.354803 0.714785
2025-10-05 0.008853 0.019740 0.041949 0.089885 0.189929 0.387646 0.805687
2025-10-12 0.008017 0.018563 0.040842 0.090583 0.197862 0.416581 0.893334
2025-10-19 0.007281 0.017492 0.039812 0.091308 0.205980 0.446931 0.987876
2025-10-26 0.006684 0.016637 0.039118 0.092653 0.215570 0.481420 1.095347
2025-11-02 0.006259 0.016117 0.039093 0.095479 0.228777 0.525112 1.228038
2025-11-09 0.005480 0.014607 0.036567 0.092134 0.227436 0.536706 1.290459
2025-11-16 0.004976 0.013706 0.035357 0.091751 0.232968 0.564351 1.392932
2025-11-23 0.004480 0.012745 0.033859 0.090442 0.236063 0.586668 1.485481
2025-11-30 0.004200 0.012316 0.033641 0.092336 0.247337 0.629635 1.632940
2025-12-07 0.003813 0.011531 0.032384 0.091344 0.251115 0.654800 1.739341
2025-12-14 0.003412 0.010635 0.030705 0.088982 0.250989 0.670209 1.822853
2025-12-21 0.003040 0.009765 0.028972 0.086224 0.249429 0.681759 1.897735